Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.001044 0.001187 0.001331 0.001485 0.001645 0.001807 0.001981
2026-01-18 0.000824 0.001031 0.001245 0.001481 0.001731 0.001988 0.002270
2026-01-25 0.000610 0.000857 0.001121 0.001421 0.001745 0.002084 0.002461
2026-02-01 0.000459 0.000735 0.001042 0.001398 0.001791 0.002207 0.002674
2026-02-08 0.000352 0.000649 0.000994 0.001402 0.001861 0.002351 0.002906
2026-02-15 0.000269 0.000583 0.000960 0.001417 0.001938 0.002499 0.003139
2026-02-22 0.000206 0.000532 0.000940 0.001444 0.002024 0.002654 0.003377
2026-03-01 0.000138 0.000463 0.000892 0.001434 0.002066 0.002758 0.003556
2026-03-08 0.000076 0.000387 0.000828 0.001400 0.002077 0.002824 0.003692
2026-03-15 0.000043 0.000345 0.000804 0.001411 0.002137 0.002943 0.003883
2026-03-22 0.000014 0.000296 0.000766 0.001402 0.002172 0.003032 0.004040
2026-03-29 0.000002 0.000267 0.000752 0.001421 0.002238 0.003154 0.004231
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000209 0.000703 0.001411 0.002287 0.003279 0.004450
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000158 0.000658 0.001403 0.002340 0.003408 0.004676
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000092 0.000575 0.001342 0.002325 0.003461 0.004815
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000052 0.000523 0.001318 0.002355 0.003562 0.005009
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000029 0.000493 0.001321 0.002417 0.003700 0.005243
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000013 0.000472 0.001335 0.002491 0.003850 0.005491
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000004 0.000460 0.001360 0.002578 0.004015 0.005754
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000425 0.001350 0.002618 0.004124 0.005952
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000378 0.001317 0.002627 0.004195 0.006105
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000361 0.001328 0.002692 0.004330 0.006330
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000333 0.001319 0.002730 0.004432 0.006517